the odds

Traders put this at 54%. That is 23.0 points up over the last day, including a +31.5-point move in the last hour. $41 thousand traded in 24 hours.

The move higher comes alongside fresh reporting that “AI Price Prediction: ChatGPT Predicts Where Ethereum, Chainlink and Uniswap Could Be by the End of 2026.” Pluang is also reporting “Predict.fun token launch before Oct 31 seen at 22% probability, before Nov 30 at 97%.”

Traders put this at 19%. That is 23.0 points down over the last day, including a -2.0-point move in the last hour. $113 thousand traded in 24 hours.

The move lower comes alongside fresh reporting that “Israel's voter turnout soars as Netanyahu faces a tight election.” PBS is also reporting “Why it could be weeks or months before Israel's election winner is known.”

Traders put this at 54%. That is 24.9 points up over the last day, including a +4.0-point move in the last hour. $18 thousand traded in 24 hours.

The move higher comes alongside fresh reporting that “Arab parties could win record 18 seats in Israel election, exit polls show.” The Jerusalem Post is also reporting “With over 2 million votes counted, Netanyahu pulls ahead of Eisenkot but fails to reach 61.”

Traders put this at 69%. That is 24.0 points up over the last day, including a +1.5-point move in the last hour. $15 thousand traded in 24 hours.

The move higher comes alongside fresh reporting that “(Most) Democrats at Question 3 rally, Harbeson heads out, more in political notes.” PGA Tour is also reporting “Qualifiers for all 2027 Signature Events, The Players and majors.”

Traders put this at 56%. That is 12.0 points down over the last day, including a -1.5-point move in the last hour. $82 thousand traded in 24 hours.

The move lower comes alongside fresh reporting that “Kubilius: Commission preparing a new SAFE round worth around €21 billion for joint projects with Ukraine.”

Traders put this at 95%. That is 1.7 points up over the last day. $3.9 million traded in 24 hours.

The move higher comes alongside fresh reporting that “The Fed’s October Meeting Starts Today. Here’s What You Need To Know.” Forbes is also reporting “CD Interest Rates Forecast: Will CD Rates Go Up In 2026?.”

Traders put this at 67%. The price has been broadly steady over the last day. $436 thousand traded in 24 hours.

The price is steady, but the live news backdrop is “Midterms 2026: Congress Polls and More.” University of California, Riverside is also reporting “A polling expert weighs in on mid-term polls.”

Traders put this at 7%. That is 3.0 points down over the last day. $603 thousand traded in 24 hours.

The move lower comes alongside fresh reporting that “France’s Permanent State of Emergency.”

Traders put this at 0.4%. The price has been broadly steady over the last day. $692 thousand traded in 24 hours.

The price is steady, but the live news backdrop is “2026 US midterm elections: Key races, polls and what’s at stake for Trump.” reflector.com is also reporting “Talarico vows to 'take back Texas' as Trump makes last-minute push to keep the state in GOP hands.”